FX
CURIO
Forex Exotic

USD/TRY — US Dollar / Turkish Lira

20 – 200+ pips · highly variable

USD/TRY is a structurally trending exotic driven by Turkish inflation and policy credibility. Carry costs on short positions are extreme and spreads widen violently.

Risk first

Numbers below are typical ranges, not guarantees — spreads, swaps and volatility differ per broker and market regime. Size every position from your stop distance and account risk, never from a fixed lot habit.

Contract specifications

SpecValue
Contract size1.00 lot = 100,000 USD
Pip / tick value0.0001 → variable, small in USD terms
Typical spread20 – 200+ pips
Typical daily rangehighly variable
Best trading hoursEuropean session

What moves this market

  • ▸Turkish inflation and CBRT policy
  • ▸Political interference in monetary policy
  • ▸Reserve levels and capital controls

Correlations to watch

  • ▸Loosely tied to broad EM currency stress
  • ▸Low correlation to G10 pairs

How traders approach it

  • ▸Long-term trend positions with tiny size
  • ▸Avoid shorting purely on "it went too far"
  • ▸Account for swap in every plan

Typical mistakes

  • ▸Ignoring gap risk and sudden policy shocks
  • ▸Using normal position sizing on an exotic

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