FX
CURIO
Intermediate6 min read

Trading Gold (XAU/USD)

Gold is part safe haven, part inflation hedge, part currency — understanding its drivers separates good gold trades from lucky ones.

Gold (XAU/USD) is one of the most heavily traded instruments in the world, quoted in US dollars per troy ounce (31.1 grams). It sits in a unique position: not quite a currency, not quite a commodity, and treated by markets as a store of value and crisis hedge.

Contract Basics

PropertyTypical value
Quote unitUSD per troy ounce
Standard lot100 oz per lot (broker-dependent)
Typical daily range$15-$30 in calm markets, $40+ in volatile periods
Trading hoursNearly 23 hours a day, Sun 22:00 UTC - Fri 21:00 UTC

What Drives Gold

  1. 1.Real interest rates — gold pays no yield, so when inflation-adjusted bond yields rise, holding gold becomes relatively less attractive and it tends to fall; falling real yields tend to lift gold.
  2. 2.US dollar strength — gold is priced in USD, so a stronger dollar often makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, pressuring demand and price.
  3. 3.Safe-haven demand — geopolitical crises, banking stress, or equity sell-offs typically drive flows into gold.
  4. 4.Central bank buying — many central banks hold and periodically add gold reserves, providing a structural demand floor.
  5. 5.Inflation expectations — gold is often (imperfectly) viewed as a long-term inflation hedge.
USD correlation is usually negative but not fixed

Gold and the US dollar are usually inversely correlated, but during acute crises both can rise together as investors seek safety in both simultaneously. Don't assume the correlation always holds — check it against the current macro regime.

Sessions & Liquidity

Gold trades nearly around the clock but liquidity concentrates during the London and New York sessions, roughly 07:00-21:00 UTC, when major physical and futures markets overlap. The Asian session tends to be quieter with lower volatility, occasionally punctuated by Chinese demand-related moves.

Key Data to Watch

  • ▸US CPI and PCE inflation releases.
  • ▸Federal Reserve rate decisions and speeches (drives real yield expectations).
  • ▸US Treasury yield moves, especially the 10-year.
  • ▸Geopolitical headlines and risk-off equity sell-offs.
Gold can gap on weekends

Because gold reacts strongly to geopolitical news, weekend headlines can produce significant gaps at the Sunday open. Traders holding positions over the weekend should size accordingly.

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